# Unlockdown support

- Link: https://dearsouthafrica.co.za/unlockdown/support/
- Published: 2020-05-10T22:48:18+02:00
- Author: dearSA

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## Media release – for immediate distribution

Issued by Dear SA, 8 May 2020

**Dear SA challenges government over e-commerce ban and 3-hour exercise limit**

Attorneys for civil rights group DearSA today delivered a [letter of demand](https://cdn.dearsouthafrica.co.za/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/20191052/Letter-to-Minister-of-Cooperative-Governance-and-Traditional-Affairs-dated-8-May-2020.pdf)
to the Minister of Cooperative Governance and Traditional Affairs, Nkosazana Dlamini-
Zuma, challenging the government’s ban on e-commerce and its limitation on outside
exercise to three hours a day.

The organisation has requested the government amend the Covid-19 lockdown regulations
to allow for all forms of online retailing on the grounds that this would support
rather than impede the campaign to stop the spread of the virus.

It also wants government to allow South Africans to engage in any form of non-group
outdoor exercise during daylight hours, as opposed to the current daily allowance
between the hours of 6h00 and 9h00.

Attorney for Dear SA, Daniel Eloff of Hurter Spies Inc, has also notified the minister
that unless a response is received by the close of business on 14 May 2020, Dear
SA will be compelled to seek urgent relief in court.

“Our client, however, trusts that unnecessary litigation could be avoided and look
forward to your urgent response,” concludes Eloff’s letter to the minister.

The letter raises concerns that government decisions over the lockdown are ad hoc
rather than data-driven, which has resulted in a potential massive economic overkill.

**Cost of protracted lockdown to human life worse than the disease**

The letter to the minister cites data from Pandemic Data and Analytics (PANDA) showing
the years of life lost to South Africans as a result of the lockdown could be 29
times more costly to life than the disease itself.

PANDA estimates that nearly 14 million years of life could be lost to the population
of SA as a result of the lockdown.

**Massive overkill**

Various economic studies, some of them by government itself, show that a prolonged
lockdown will have a devastating impact on the economy, with the construction sector
likely to suffer a 30% decline in employment. A study by SA-TIED suggests the financial
and manufacturing sectors are likely to experience a 15% decline in employment if
the lockdown is prolonged.

The effect of the lockdown will be a massive decline in the demand and supply of
many industries, with particularly severe effects in the service sectors, such as
restaurants, entertainment, tourism, travel and hotels, according to SA-TIED.

In a presentation to the Standing Committee on Finance, National Treasury recently
warned that it was projecting between 3 and 7 million job losses as a result of 
a protracted lockdown to fight the spread of Covid-19.

Further data from the Actuarial Society of SA shows that the risks of Covid-19 are
highly correlated with age, with more than half the cases requiring hospitalisation
in SA occurring in the 70+ age group. Fewer than 5% of all cases requiring hospitalisation
are aged below 40.

Lockdown measures cannot stop the virus from spreading, but they can slow down the
speed of infections. Lockdowns will not save the lives of those who contract Covid-
19 and do not require hospitalisation. They also do not save the lives of those 
who contract the virus and would sadly and regrettably succumb to the disease even
if they gained access to an ICU bed. They only assist those who contract the virus
and would survive if they were hospitalised but are unable to receive such care 
because the health system has been overrun.

**Opening e-commerce would reduce contact between infected persons**

Dear SA also points to a study showing that the key benefit of e-commerce is that
it substantially reduces contact that would be experienced in physical stores. To
therefore ban e-commerce on the grounds that this is unfair to bricks and mortar
stores is irrational if the purpose is to stop the spread of the disease. Bricks
and mortar stores are far more likely to accelerate their online offerings if allowed
to do so.

The letter also cites studies from China showing that pandemic outbreaks are much
less likely to spread outdoors than indoors. “This means people should be given 
more freedom to exercise outdoors during daylight hours,” says Dear SA. Limiting
the exercise window to three hours a day creates congestion and raises the risk 
of transmission.

Dear SA says it is calling for a reasonable approach to regulations aimed at addressing
the public health issue.

**Contact Daniël Eloff of Hurter Spies Inc.**

**deloff@hurterspies.co.za**

**082 838 5290**
