# summary

- Link: https://dearsouthafrica.co.za/emergency-fuel-laws/summary/
- Published: 2026-07-10T15:51:20+02:00
- Author: dearSA

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South Africa’s energy landscape has hit a critical turning point. Following the 
permanent closure or conversion of major domestic refineries (such as SAPREF and
ENGEN) into import terminals, South Africa has transitioned from a crude-oil-processing
nation into a country heavily reliant on imported finished petroleum products. This
leaves our economy highly exposed to global shipping bottlenecks, geopolitical conflicts,
and severe price volatility.

To counter this vulnerability, the Department of Mineral and Petroleum Resources
has drafted the Strategic Petroleum Stock Policy, 2026. This policy moves South 
Africa away from a voluntary fuel storage model to a strict, legally mandated regulatory
regime. It dictates exactly how much backup fuel the state and private companies
must store, how those reserves are funded, and creates a legal framework for fuel
rationing and state price-intervention auctions during global emergencies.

According to the government’s data, a total nationwide unavailability of liquid 
fuel would cost the South African economy an estimated R1 Billion per day in lost
GDP. Because it takes between 21 to 42 days for fuel imports to reach our shores,
a robust backup plan is vital. However, the mechanisms chosen by the state will 
heavily dictate fuel costs, market competition, and individual consumer rights.

### _Key Policy Proposals Unpacked_

[The Dual-Obligation Stockholding Model](https://dearsouthafrica.co.za/emergency-fuel-laws/summary/#1738150189952-44103674-e29d31d9-c3be5520-254382c6-e76d)

The policy divides the burden of safeguarding the country’s fuel security between
the government and the private sector via a dual responsibility framework:

    - _State Strategic Stocks (60 Days Cover): _
       The government mandates a reserve
      equivalent to 60 days of net imports. This will be managed by the newly consolidated
      South African National Petroleum Company (SANPC)—which emerged from the 2025
      merger of the Strategic Fuel Fund (SFF), PetroSA, and iGas. These reserves
      will consist of 70% crude oil and 30% refined products (petrol, diesel, jet
      fuel) kept at state-owned storage hubs like Saldanha Bay and Milnerton.
    - _Private Mandatory Stocks (21 Days Cover): _
       In a major shift, all licensed
      private wholesalers and fuel importers will be legally required to maintain
      21 days of net import cover at their own expense. This stock must also follow
      a 70% crude and 30% finished product split to ensure quick market liquidity
      during disruptions.
    - _Product Quality Management: _
       Because refined petroleum degrades over time,
      all stored finished products must be rotated at least every three months.

[The Emergency Trigger Levels & Fuel Rationing](https://dearsouthafrica.co.za/emergency-fuel-laws/summary/#1738150189975-5d0623dc-47dc31d9-c3be5520-254382c6-e76d)

The draft policy establishes four distinct action triggers based on the severity
of a fuel shortage. Notably, it grants the Minister of Mineral and Petroleum Resources
the sole authority to declare a liquid fuels emergency and alter market distributions:

  |  **Emergency Level** |  **Crisis Threshold** |  **Mandated Government Action** |  
   |  **Level 1: Supply Alert** |  Loss of 20% of national refined product supply (e.g., a refinery outage or single port closure) lasting more than 14 days. |  Voluntary industry stock sharing and an immediate SANPC readiness audit. |  
 |  **Level 2: Supply Disruption** |  Loss of 40% of national supply, alongside the total depletion of the private sector’s 21-day commercial safety buffer. |  Initial restricted drawdown of state reserves, strictly limited to essential services and key economic hubs. |  
 |  **Level 3: National Emergency** |  A severe global supply shock or complete failure of the import value chain, wiping out more than 50% of national fuel supply. |  Mass state stock drawdown, wide market release, and the legal implementation of **fuel rationing** for consumers. |  
 |  **Economic / Price Stability Trigger** |  Unprecedented global price volatility where Brent Crude oil hits or threatens to breach **$145 per barrel**. |  The state will conduct a strategic sale of its stockpiled products via a competitive auction to deliberately force down local pump prices. |

[Funding and Infrastructure Costs](https://dearsouthafrica.co.za/emergency-fuel-laws/summary/#1738150854013-bb98f5fb-7d0931d9-c3be5520-254382c6-e76d)

Maintaining millions of barrels of emergency fuel requires massive capital. The 
policy proposes introducing a dedicated “security of supply” financial instrument
or a cost-recovery framework via the Central Energy Fund Act to fund the state’s
procurement and rotational costs. Additionally, it prioritises the refurbishment
of the Saldanha Bay storage terminal and building new refined product mega-tanks
closer to inland demand centres like Gauteng.

### _Questions and answers_

[Why is the government introducing a new fuel stock policy right now?](https://dearsouthafrica.co.za/emergency-fuel-laws/summary/#1763554389233-fdb8fee6-6da45520-254382c6-e76d)

_The Reality: _
 South Africa has experienced a massive shift in its energy security.
Major domestic refineries, such as SAPREF and ENGEN, have either closed down or 
been converted into import terminals.

_The Vulnerability: _
 We have transitioned from a nation that imports raw crude
oil and refines it locally to a nation that relies heavily on importing already 
finished petroleum products (like petrol and diesel). This leaves our entire economy
exposed to international shipping delays, geopolitical conflicts, and currency drops.

_The Risk: _
 Government data indicates that a total national unavailability of 
liquid fuel would cost South Africa’s economy an estimated R1 Billion per day in
lost Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

[What is the main difference between our current system and this proposed policy?](https://dearsouthafrica.co.za/emergency-fuel-laws/summary/#1763554389265-aa09206a-77665520-254382c6-e76d)

Currently, South Africa operates largely on a voluntary, commercial “just-in-time”
fuel delivery model managed by private companies. This keeps corporate profits optimised
but leaves the country with low physical reserves. This policy officially transitions
South Africa into a regulated, mandatory regime where both the state and private
businesses are legally forced to store massive volumes of backup fuel specifically
for catastrophic disruptions.

[Is the government really going to introduce fuel rationing?](https://dearsouthafrica.co.za/emergency-fuel-laws/summary/#1763554389298-fbc55a3c-817c5520-254382c6-e76d)

Yes, but only in an extreme crisis. The draft policy introduces a strict three-level
emergency trigger system.

_The Trigger: _
 Fuel rationing will only be legally implemented under a Level 3
National Emergency. This is defined as a severe global supply shock or total failure
of the import value chain that wipes out more than 50% of South Africa’s fuel supply.

_The Action: _
 During a Level 3 emergency, the state will execute a mass drawdown
of strategic stocks and legally enforce fuel rationing across the country to keep
essential services running.

[How will this policy affect the price of petrol and diesel at the pump?](https://dearsouthafrica.co.za/emergency-fuel-laws/summary/#1771840733358-e4b2d08e-b22682c6-e76d)

There are two opposing impacts on pricing built into this policy:

_1. Potential Price Hikes: _
 The policy forces private oil companies and wholesalers
to build infrastructure and store 21 days of backup fuel at their own expense. It
also proposes a new state “cost-recovery framework” or financial instrument to fund
government reserves. There is a strong likelihood that these heavy compliance costs
will be passed down to ordinary citizens through higher retail fuel margins.

_2. Potential Price Relief (The $145 Trigger): _
 |Conversely, the policy creates
an Economic/Price Stability Trigger. If global oil price volatility spikes and Brent
Crude threatens to hit $145 per barrel, the Minister can release state fuel reserves
into the market via a competitive auction specifically designed to force down local
pump prices.

[What are the new legal obligations for private fuel companies?](https://dearsouthafrica.co.za/emergency-fuel-laws/summary/#1771840767171-e194ee95-bf8282c6-e76d)

If you are a licensed fuel manufacturer, wholesaler, or importer in South Africa,
you will no longer be allowed to hold only what you intend to sell immediately. 
You will be legally mandated to maintain 21 days of net import cover as a private
reserve. Furthermore, this backup stock cannot just be raw oil; it must be split
70% crude oil and 30% finished, refined product (like petrol or diesel) to ensure
immediate market liquidity if a crisis hits.

[Won’t stored fuel simply go bad or degrade over time?](https://dearsouthafrica.co.za/emergency-fuel-laws/summary/#1783690534482-9fffa819-6a9d)

Yes, refined petroleum products degrade. To counter this, the policy explicitly 
mandates a quality control rotation mechanism. All private and state-owned refined
strategic stocks must be completely rotated at least every three months and must
be stored close to operational facilities to make this logistically viable.

[Who is actually running and managing these fuel reserves?](https://dearsouthafrica.co.za/emergency-fuel-laws/summary/#1783690566172-716116dc-4505)

_The Regulator: _
 The Minister of Mineral and Petroleum Resources holds the ultimate
executive authority to declare an emergency and trigger the release or sale of the
fuel.

_The Custodian: _
 The day-to-day procurement, maintenance, and infrastructure management
will be handled by the South African National Petroleum Company (SANPC). The SANPC
is a new state entity formed by consolidating the Strategic Fuel Fund (SFF), PetroSA,
and iGas.

_The Logistics: _
 Transnet Pipelines and Freight Rail will be responsible for moving
the emergency fuel via the 700km Multi-Product Pipeline (MPP) from coastal storage
hubs (like Saldanha Bay) to inland economic centres like Gauteng. In an emergency,
Transnet is legally required to prioritise strategic fuel over commercial cargo.

[Where will this emergency fuel be physically kept?](https://dearsouthafrica.co.za/emergency-fuel-laws/summary/#1783690637538-a08e106b-8472)

Crude oil reserves will continue to be heavily focused at the massive state-owned
storage facility in Saldanha Bay. However, because 60% of South Africa’s fuel is
consumed inland (Gauteng, Limpopo, Free State, and North-West), the policy prioritises
building new “mega-tank” storage infrastructure and strategic hubs closer to these
high-demand inland centres for refined products.

The draft Policy

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### _In the News_

    - BusinessTech — [New rules coming for petrol and diesel rationing, and a level 3 fuel shortage emergency in South Africa](https://businesstech.co.za/news/energy/866008/new-rules-petrol-and-diesel-rationing-and-a-level-3-fuel-shortage-emergency-in-south-africa/)
    - eNCA — [New rules proposed for strategic fuel stockpiles](https://www.enca.com/business-top-stories/new-rules-proposed-strategic-fuel-stockpiles)
    - MyBroadband — [New fuel rationing and emergency supply laws on the cards for South Africa](https://mybroadband.co.za/news/government/657603-new-fuel-rationing-and-emergency-supply-laws-on-the-cards-for-south-africa.html)
    - SA News — [Cabinet approves publication of petroleum stocks policy](https://www.sanews.gov.za/south-africa/cabinet-approves-publication-petroleum-stocks-policy)
    - News24 — [Cabinet approves emergency fuel stockpiles strategy](https://www.news24.com/business/economy/cabinet-approves-emergency-fuel-stockpiles-strategy-20260703-0790)
    - BusinessDay — [Mantashe aims for 60-day strategic fuel reserve buffer against shocks](https://www.businessday.co.za/news/2026-06-11-mantashe-aims-for-60-day-strategic-fuel-reserve-buffer/)
    - Energize — [SA plans 60-day petroleum reserve](https://www.energize.co.za/article/sa-plans-60-day-petroleum-reserve)
    - IOL — [South Africa’s 60-day reserve plan](https://iol.co.za/news/brics/2026-06-12-south-africas-60-day-reserve-plan/)

### _Statements and media releases_

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Want to display your organisation’s statement? [Click here. ](https://dearsouthafrica.co.za/emergency-fuel-laws/summary/ fuel@dearsouthafrica.co.za?subject=org info for New Fuel laws info page)

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### Cape Independence Party

 **CAPEXIT Party strongly opposes the Business Licensing Bill in its entirety on
all points:**

**Preferential licensing**
 The Bill explicitly empowers the Minister to grant licences
on a “preferential” basis and to impose conditions that advance “historically disadvantaged
individuals” or other designated groups. This is nothing less than state-sanctioned
racial and ideological discrimination dressed up as transformation policy.

CAPEXIT rejects the notion that the state has any legitimate role in deciding which
racial or social group may or may not operate a business. Such preferential licensing
will:

    - Reintroduce apartheid-era economic controls under a new ideological banner;
    - Create a cronyist system where access to markets is determined by political
      connections and demographic criteria rather than merit, innovation or consumer
      demand;
    - Discourage both domestic and foreign investment, as investors will rightly
      fear that their businesses can be denied licences or subjected to arbitrary
      conditions on racial or political grounds.

No free society licenses businesses on the basis of the owner’s skin colour or historical
narrative. This clause alone renders the entire Bill unconstitutional and morally
indefensible.

**Principles of business licensing**
 The Bill fails to articulate any coherent,
objective, or proportionate principle for requiring a general business licence in
the first place. Instead, it presumes that every enterprise – from a street vendor
to a multinational corporation – must seek prior permission from the state simply
to exist and trade.

This reverses the fundamental principle of a free economy: citizens should be free
to engage in lawful economic activity without state permission unless there is a
clear, evidence-based justification (e.g. public health, safety or environmental
protection).

The Bill provides no such justification. It is a blanket assault on economic freedom,
reminiscent of the licence-permit raj that crippled India’s economy for decades.
Requiring a general “business licence” in addition to existing sector-specific permits(
liquor, health, zoning, etc.) serves no legitimate public purpose – only the purpose
of expanding state control and creating new opportunities for rent-seeking and corruption.

**Powers of inspectors**
 The Bill grants inspectors extraordinarily broad and invasive
powers, including warrantless entry into private premises, seizure of documents 
and goods, and the ability to close businesses on the spot. These powers are ripe
for abuse and will be weaponised against political opponents, non-compliant businesses,
and any entrepreneur who refuses to pay bribes.

In a country already plagued by corruption scandals, handing unelected officials
the power to enter and shut down businesses without judicial oversight is an open
invitation to extortion. Small businesses, spaza shops, and informal traders – many
of them immigrant-owned – will be particularly vulnerable to harassment and shakedowns.
Far from promoting transformation, this will simply create a new class of “licence
inspectors” who enrich themselves at the expense of the poor.

**More red tape**
 South Africa already ranks poorly on the World Bank’s Ease of
Doing Business index, largely because of regulatory overreach. This Bill adds yet
another layer of costly, time-consuming bureaucracy on top of SARS registration,
municipal permits, B-BBEE compliance, UIF, COIDA, sector SETA requirements, and 
dozens of other licences.

The compliance costs – application fees, mandatory consultations, endless paperwork,
and the risk of arbitrary refusal – will crush startups and force thousands of small
businesses to close or remain informal. Jobs will be lost, investment will flee,
and the tax base will shrink. The Western Cape, which has consistently outperformed
the rest of South Africa precisely because of lighter and more efficient regulation,
will see its competitive advantage deliberately sabotaged by Pretoria.

**Conclusion**
 The Business Licensing Bill is not reform – it is economic sabotage.
It centralises power in the hands of an already overreaching and underperforming
national government, reintroduces racial criteria into commerce, and erects new 
barriers to entrepreneurship at a time when South Africa desperately needs growth
and jobs.

CAPEXIT calls for the complete withdrawal of this Bill. The people of the Western
Cape, and indeed all South Africans who believe in freedom, will not accept a return
to a permit-based economy controlled by bureaucrats and political gatekeepers.

For a free, prosperous, and non-racial future, this Bill must be rejected in its
entirety.
